Snow Day Risk

Snow day calculator

Your school

Next school day

Snow day–%

Late start–%

Enter a ZIP code above

Will there be a snow day?

  • An estimate from the public forecast. Your school district makes the call.

Why the sign says so

  • Snow

    How many inches are forecast, against what your area usually handles.

  • Timing

    Whether it falls overnight or stops early enough for plows to finish.

  • Ice

    Freezing rain, which closes schools at far smaller amounts than snow.

  • Cold

    The wind chill while children wait for the bus.

  • Wind

    Gusts strong enough to drift snow back over cleared roads.

  • Alerts

    Winter warnings and advisories from the National Weather Service.

Set from your state when you check a ZIP code. Change it if you know your district better.

Worked out in your browser from the National Weather Service forecast. No account, no cookies.

The chance school is closed or delayed, worked out from the official forecast for your ZIP code, city or school. Checked against 2,024 real school days.

Use your location?

Near me finds the forecast for where you are. Your browser will ask you to allow it: choose Allow.

Your location is used once, to find the forecast where you are. It is not stored and not sent to us.

How the chance is worked out

Your ZIP code or city is matched to a point on the map, and your browser asks the US National Weather Service for its hour-by-hour forecast there. Six things are read from it: how much snow, when it falls, ice, wind chill at bus-stop time, wind and any winter alert in force.

Snow counts in full when it falls between midnight and 8 a.m. and for less when it stops early, because plows get time to clear the roads. The total is then set against how much snow your area normally shrugs off: two inches can shut a district in Georgia and goes unnoticed in Minnesota. How much snow it takes, state by state.

The result is an estimate, not a measurement. It was not trained on your district's past decisions, and it cannot know about a bus garage without power or a superintendent who never closes. Every number behind it is on the How it works page.

Is it accurate

Checked against 2,024 real school days 17 districts over two winters. When it said 80% or more, schools closed 86% of the time. It also gave under 20% to about three closures in ten. See the check

Closed, delayed or open

Schools have a middle option. A two-hour delay gives plows and daylight a chance when the storm is over but the roads are not ready, so the calculator gives two numbers: the chance of a full closure, and the chance of a late start instead. How districts choose between a delay and a closure. There is also a 2 hour delay calculator, a cold day calculator for mornings without snow, and a manual calculator for trying your own numbers.

Snow day calculator by state

Each state page starts from that state's usual setting and lists towns you can check in one tap.

In Canada

The Canadian snow day calculator takes a postal code and reads in centimetres and °C.

Questions people ask

Will there be a snow day tomorrow?

Enter your ZIP code above. The calculator reads the National Weather Service forecast for your area and gives the chance of a closure and of a late start for the next school morning, with the reasons. After 9 a.m. it answers for the next school day; on a Friday evening that is Monday.

Is the snow day calculator real?

It is a real calculation on the real forecast, and it is an estimate. It reads the National Weather Service forecast for your ZIP code and applies published rules to it. It does not know what your superintendent will decide, and no calculator does. The only thing that counts is your district's own announcement.

How much snow until school is canceled?

Anywhere from about 1 inch to 9 inches overnight, depending on how used to snow your district is. Those are the amounts at which the calculator puts closing at even odds. Ice, wind and timing move the line.

Is 2 inches of snow enough for a snow day?

It depends on where you live. In districts that rarely see snow, about 1 inch overnight is enough to make closing a coin flip, so 2 inches usually closes school. In districts used to snow the line is nearer 6 inches, and 2 inches means school as usual. Timing matters as much: 2 inches at 6 a.m. does more than 2 inches the evening before.

Can school be canceled because of snow?

Yes. A school district can close for the day, start late or send students home early when roads are unsafe for buses, teen drivers and walkers. The superintendent usually decides before dawn. Each district sets its own rules, so neighboring towns can make different calls in the same storm.

How does a snow day calculator work?

This one takes the hour-by-hour forecast for your ZIP code and scores six things: snowfall, when it falls relative to the morning commute, ice, wind chill at bus-stop time, wind and active winter alerts. The score is set against how much snow your area normally handles and turned into a percentage. Every threshold is listed on the How it works page.

How accurate is the snow day calculator?

It is an estimate. It is only as good as the forecast it reads, and it has had one check against real closings: on 2,024 school days in 17 US districts over two winters, when it said 80% or more schools closed 86% of the time, and it gave under 20% to about three closures in ten. It is most useful the evening before and early on the morning itself, when the forecast is firmest. Your district's own announcement is the only thing that counts.

How cold does the weather have to be for school to be closed?

There is no national rule. The calculator treats a morning wind chill of about -25°F as enough on its own to make a closure a coin flip in districts used to winter, and about -5°F in districts that are not. Cold that severe more often brings a late start than a full closure.

Can there be a snow day without snow?

Yes. Ice closes schools at far smaller amounts than snow: about 0.1 inch of freezing rain can be enough. Extreme wind chill, flooding and power outages close schools too. The calculator counts ice and cold; it does not know about floods or outages.

What is the trick for getting a snow day?

There is none. Pajamas worn inside out, a spoon under the pillow and ice cubes flushed down the toilet are well-loved traditions with no effect on the forecast. What works is snow that falls between midnight and 8 a.m.

Does a snow day mean no school?

Traditionally yes: buildings are closed and there are no classes. Some districts now hold remote learning days instead, so check how your district handles it. Days lost to snow may be made up later in the year.

What is the difference between a delay and a closure?

A delay starts the school day late, usually by two hours, when roads are expected to improve during the morning. A closure cancels the whole day. The calculator gives a separate chance for each.

Does the calculator work on weekends and holidays?

It skips them. If the next morning is a Saturday, a Sunday, a federal holiday that schools observe or part of winter break, it answers for the next school day and tells you which days it skipped. It does not know your district's own days off.

Does it work outside the United States?

In Canada, yes: the Canadian calculator takes a postal code and reads in centimetres and °C. Elsewhere, no. US ZIP codes use the National Weather Service, which covers the 50 states, Puerto Rico and Guam.